Baboki Kayawe, Botswana
A perfect storm of lower rainfall and a growing population beckons for
Botswana. But others find climate change is already in the fields and paddocks.
“As climate change ushers in more stress on the water sector, it is
increasingly a concern that losses in rangeland productivity will result in
food insecurity, especially in rural areas,” a country analysis report unveiled
recently on Botswana states.
Far from the airy conference rooms where such reports are typically shared,
are thousands of subsistence farmers - growing crops mainly to feed their
families - for whom these words come to life in the fields and the paddocks of
Botswana every harvest season. For these farmers, the national ideals of
poverty eradication and sustainable development are slipping ever further out
of reach. Bathalefhi Seoroka, 65, is a subsistence farmer in Boteti, one of
Botswana’s drier areas located in the central region. She mostly grows
maize, sorghum, beans and melons on her six-hectare field.
Seoroka has noticed her crops have been failing because of declining
rainfall since 2010. “Weather patterns have drastically changed," she
says. "I don’t know how we will be able to survive under such dry
conditions.”
Another farmer, Kgasane Tsele accuses the government of responding too
slowly to the 2014-2015 drought, which was declared early in June. “This is
really scary for us as farmers and we eagerly wait to see how government will
respond," he says. "By now government should have announced how it is
going to help farmers in alleviating the impact of this drought. The response
team must always be on alert and respond early.”
The Department of Meteorological Services predicts the southeastern part of
Botswana – which is already suffering from drought and water shortages – is
poised to experience its driest season in 34 years.
To cope with food shortage risks, the Botswana Agricultural Marketing Board
(BAMB) ordered 1,000 tons of yellow maize from South Africa, and an additional
10,000 tons of white maize is due to arrive soon. BAMB spokesperson, Kushata
Modiakgotla says strategic grain reserves currently stand at 30,000 tons of
sorghum and 3,000 tons of cowpeas left, but there is no maize. “BAMB has
started the process of buying 5,000 tons of white maize from Zambia and it is
exploring other avenues to import an additional 5,000 tons if necessary,” she
states.
Imports from both nations would help meet supply as local reserves are
under threat, while yellow maize is used to produce animal feed. The government
insists consumers are not in any danger of going hungry as more than 90 percent
of the maize consumed in Botswana is sourced by local millers from South
Africa. But despite the supply contracts, consumers will have to pay more for
maize meal the longer drought persists.
Botswana Meat Commission (BMC) chief executive Akolang Tombale says climate
risks also present challenges to beef production and exports. “We are just
emerging from a very dry season and if another drought is forecast it is a
problematic state as production will be reduced,” he explains. Grasslands and
pasture are an important resource for Batswana who derive most of their
livelihood from livestock. The majority of the BMC’s throughput starts at
natural pastures, before being prepared with feedstock. Tombale is holding out
hope for showers to replenish pastures around the country, but he acknowledges
this may not be a long-term solution.
BMC has been receiving higher rates of deliveries than usual this year,
since the Ministry of Agriculture advised farmers to destock as means of
cutting their losses. However, this is a short-lived gain because if the
situation persists in the next raining cycle, beef revenues would be badly
affected. The BMC is now urging farmers to change their approach from quantity
to quality-based cattle production.
President Ian Khama recently urged farmers to adopt more innovative
approaches to their work in order to cope with the impacts of climate change.
Speaking at the 2015 National Agricultural Show ‘Practicing Smart Agriculture
to Combat the Effect of Climate Change’, he pointed to Israel, where farmers
have harnessed new technologies in order to maintain production in highly water
stressed environments.
“This ravaging drought we are currently experiencing is an opportunity to
be innovative and resort to new methods and technologies to produce under such
conditions. It is for this reason that farming methods such as conservation
agriculture are promoted,” he said.
Recommendations include using improved crop varieties that are drought
tolerant and high yielding, investing in breeds that can withstand the current
climate, as well as adoption of proper crop husbandry practices though agricultural
infrastructure. Lare Sisay, United Nations Development Programme’s deputy
resident representative, predicts water shortages will lead to an increase in
undesirable types of grass species.
“This has a far-reaching impact on social and economic sectors, and this
has not yet been quantified and factored into the country’s economic
projections,” he says. He predicts this could derail Botswana’s efforts to
break through its middle-income country status.
Parliamentarians – many of whose constituents are rural and peri-urban
populations involved in communal farming – are expected to tackle the climate
change policy, once it appears in the National Assembly. The policy is due in
the November sitting and already momentum is gathering from activists to ensure
robust debate and urgent approval.
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